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IMC 2025 Problem 9

    Let nn be a positive integer. Consider the following random process which produces nn sequence of nn distinct positive integers X1,X2…,XnX_1, X_2 \ldots, X_n . First, X1X_1 is chosen randomly with P(X1=i)=2−i\mathbb{P}\left(X_1=i\right)=2^{-i} for every positive integer ii . For 1≤j≤n−11 \leq j \leq n-1 . having chosen X1,…,XjX_1, \ldots, X_j , arrange the remaining positive integers in increasing order as n1<n2<n_1<n_2< ⋯\cdots , and choose Xj+1X_{j+1} randomly with P(Xj+1=ni)=2−i\mathbb{P}\left(X_{j+1}=n_i\right)=2^{-i} for every positive integer ii . Let Yn=max⁡{X1,…,Xn}Y_n=\max \left\{X_1, \ldots, X_n\right\} . Show that E[Yn]=∑i=1n2i2i−1\mathbb{E}\left[Y_n\right]=\sum_{i=1}^n \frac{2^i}{2^i-1} where E[Yn]\mathbb{E}\left[Y_n\right] is the expected value of YnY_n .

    Dataset text AI-MO AoPS. Quoted with source.

    Official text: International Mathematics Competition for University Students 2025 official paper, page 1.

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