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HMMT 2013 U22

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Sherry and Val are playing a game. Sherry has a deck containing 2011 red cards and 2012 black cards, shuffled randomly. Sherry flips these cards over one at a time, and before she flips each card over, Val guesses whether it is red or black. If Val guesses correctly, she wins 1 dollar; otherwise, she loses 1 dollar. In addition, Val must guess red exactly 2011 times. If Val plays optimally, what is her expected profit from this game?

Dataset text NuminaMath olympiads. Quoted with source.

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\frac{1}{4023}

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