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SCHWEITZER 1985 Problem 12

    Let (Ω,A,P)(\Omega, \mathcal A, P) be a probability space, and let (Xn,Fn)(X_n, \mathcal F_n) be an adapted sequence in (Ω,A,P)(\Omega, \mathcal A, P) (that is, for the σ\sigma -algebras Fn\mathcal F_n , we have F1⊆F2⊆⋯⊆A\mathcal F_1\subseteq \mathcal F_2\subseteq \dots \subseteq \mathcal A , and for all nn , XnX_n is an Fn\mathcal F_n -measurable and integrable random variable). Assume that E(Xn+1∣Fn)=12Xn+12Xn−1    (n=2,3,…)\mathrm E (X_{n+1} \mid \mathcal F_n )=\frac12 X_n+\frac12 X_{n-1}\,\,\,\, (n=2, 3, \ldots ) Prove that supnE∣Xn∣<∞\mathrm{sup}_n \mathrm{E}|X_n|<\infty implies that XnX_n converges with probability one as n→∞n\to\infty . [I. Fazekas]

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