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HMMT November 2012 H7

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The game of rock-scissors is played just like rock-paper-scissors, except that neither player is allowed to play paper. You play against a poorly-designed computer program that plays rock with 50%50 \% probability and scissors with 50%50 \% probability. If you play optimally against the computer, find the probability that after 8 games you have won at least 4 .

Dataset text NuminaMath olympiads. Quoted with source.

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\frac{163}{256}

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