olymmath

HMMT 2019 U29

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Yannick picks a number NN randomly from the set of positive integers such that the probability that nn is selected is 2−n2^{-n} for each positive integer nn. He then puts NN identical slips of paper numbered 1 through NN into a hat and gives the hat to Annie. Annie does not know the value of NN, but she draws one of the slips uniformly at random and discovers that it is the number 2 . What is the expected value of NN given Annie's information?

Dataset text NuminaMath olympiads. Quoted with source.

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\frac{1}{2 \ln 2-1}

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