olymmath

HMMT 2019 U20

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On floor 0 of a weird-looking building, you enter an elevator that only has one button. You press the button twice and end up on floor 1. Thereafter, every time you press the button, you go up by one floor with probability XY\frac{X}{Y}, where XX is your current floor, and YY is the total number of times you have pressed the button thus far (not including the current one); otherwise, the elevator does nothing.

Between the third and the 100th 100^{\text {th }} press inclusive, what is the expected number of pairs of consecutive presses that both take you up a floor?

Dataset text NuminaMath olympiads. Quoted with source.

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\frac{97}{3}

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