olymmath

HMMT 2001 F6

  • General 2

You take a wrong turn on the way to MIT and end up in Transylvania, where 99%99 \% of the inhabitants are vampires and the rest are regular humans. For obvious reasons, you want to be able to figure out who's who. On average, nine-tenths of the vampires are correctly identified as vampires and nine-tenths of humans are correct identified as humans. What is the probability that someone identified as a human is actually a human?

Dataset text NuminaMath olympiads. Quoted with source.

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